Lea Ma vs Alisa Oktiabreva — Prediction
28/03/2026•16:40
#311
Lea Ma
0:2
4•6
6•7
Finished
#284
Alisa Oktiabreva
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Lea Ma faces Alisa Oktiabreva in the Copa Colsanitas qualification. Ma, with mixed recent form (3 wins in last 10 matches), takes on Oktiabreva, who has been more performant lately (2 wins in 4 matches). Statistics suggest a tight match, potentially going to three sets, given both players' tendencies.
Our predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics show a strong tendency for three-set matches for both players. Oktiabreva has 100% of her recent matches in three sets (4/4), and Ma has 50% (3/6). Their ability to win at least one set as an outsider is high (66.7% for Ma, 100% for Oktiabreva), making a two-set match unlikely.
2.88
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
A three-set match significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even in a two-set scenario, if sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total can be reached. The players' tendencies to lose/take sets as favorite/outsider support this hypothesis.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Victory for Alisa Oktiabreva
Oktiabreva shows better recent form (50% wins in last 4 matches vs. 30% for Ma over 10). She is more consistent in three-set matches and has a 100% win rate as a favorite (albeit on a limited sample). Ma has a high loss rate (70%), which can be exploited.
1.24
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 2 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 33% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 33% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 66% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
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