Liam Broady vs Kaichi Uchida — Prediction
30/03/2026•08:25
#72
Liam Broady
2:0
7•6
6•1
Finished
#168
Kaichi Uchida
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Liam Broady, the favorite (odds 1.30), faces Kaichi Uchida (odds 3.32) in an ATP tournament in Miyazaki. Broady shows superior recent form (6 wins in last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to win matches in 2 sets (70%) outside of Grand Slams. Uchida, less confident (3W/7L), demonstrates an ability to push opponents to a third set (70% of his losses as an outsider). No known injury alerts.
Our predictions
Liam Broady to Win
Broady is the clear favorite (odds 1.30) with far superior recent form (60% wins in last 10 matches vs 30% for Uchida). His statistics as a favorite are solid (70% wins). Uchida has been struggling to win lately (70% losses). No reported injuries contradict this dynamic.
1.27
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Statistics from the last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams) show a strong tendency for Broady to play 2-set matches (70%). Furthermore, Uchida, when favorite, also often wins in 2 sets (70%). Even as an outsider, Uchida loses in 2 sets 30% of the time, but Broady, as the favorite, tends to finish quickly. The probability of a 2-set match is high.
1.48
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 2-set match. If Broady wins 2-0, a typical score like 6-4, 6-3 gives 19 games. Uchida has a limited ability to hold on for long (weak recent form). However, Uchida can be combative and win a few games, so the total could approach the limit. Confidence is medium due to the lack of precise data on average games per match.
1.73
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 33% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 75% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 28% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 71% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 66% |
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