Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz — Prediction
29/03/2026•12:10
#10
Pablo Carreno Busta
0:2
4•6
2•6
Finished
#116
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Pablo Carreno Busta, the match favorite, faces the young Pablo Llamas Ruiz. Carreno Busta, experienced and in excellent recent form (90% win rate), is slightly favored against Llamas Ruiz, who is also performing well (80% win rate). The match is played on clay in Alicante, a surface suitable for both players. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Pablo Carreno Busta to Win
Carreno Busta is the designated favorite (odds 1.76). His form statistics are excellent: 90% win rate in his last 10 matches and a 100% win rate when favored with odds between 1.0-1.5. His experience and consistency on clay give him an advantage against the young Llamas Ruiz.
1.75
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets in the Match
Player statistics in non-Grand Slam tournaments indicate a high probability of a match in 2 sets. Carreno Busta wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets as favorite, and Llamas Ruiz 80%. Furthermore, Llamas Ruiz plays only 10% of his matches in 3 sets as favorite. The odds for this bet are not provided in the JSON, but the statistical analysis is strong.
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a match in 2 sets. If the match ends in 2 sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4), the total games would be 20. Statistics show that both players, especially as favorites, tend to finish their matches in 2 sets, limiting the total number of games. However, the margin is tight, hence a medium confidence level.
1.81
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 9 1 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 42% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 14% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 83% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
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