Duje Ajdukovic vs Lukas Neumayer — Prediction
Match Preview
Duje Ajdukovic faces Lukas Neumayer in an ATP match in Barletta. Neumayer is the favorite with odds of 1.45, backed by solid form as a favorite. Ajdukovic, the underdog, shows a strong ability to win matches in two sets when favored, but struggles as an outsider. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Victory for Lukas Neumayer
Neumayer is the clear favorite (odds 1.45). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 70% win rate overall and 80% of matches in 2 sets when favored. He also has a 100% win rate (2/2) when his odds are between 1.0 and 1.2. Ajdukovic has a low win rate as an outsider (10%) and struggles to win sets against favorites in this odds range.
1.44
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Both players tend to finish their matches in two sets when in their expected role. Neumayer (favorite) finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets as a favorite. Ajdukovic, although an outsider, has an 80% rate of matches in 2 sets as an outsider, but this includes losses. Combined with Neumayer's high win probability, a two-set match (2-0) is the most likely scenario.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a two-set victory for Neumayer. If the match plays out in two tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games), the under wins. Neumayer's statistics as a favorite suggest often clear victories. However, Ajdukovic can be competitive in some games, so the under is not guaranteed but remains the most likely scenario given the match dynamics.
1.72
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 20% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 75% |
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