Alex Bolt vs Andres Andrade — Prediction
29/03/2026•20:35
#80
Alex Bolt
2:1
6•2
4•6
6•2
Finished
#181
Andres Andrade
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Alex Bolt faces Andres Andrade in the qualifying rounds of the US Men's Clay Court Championships. Andrade is the favorite (odds 1.40), but Bolt, experienced, has shown his ability to push opponents to three sets. The clay court surface could favor a tight match.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Andrade, clear favorite (odds 1.40), has a 2-set win rate of 70% as a favorite outside Majors. Bolt, as an outsider, has 40% of his matches ending in 2 sets. The combined probability and low odds support a two-set match.
1.5
Confidence
High
Victory for Andres Andrade
Andrade is the designated favorite with a low odds of 1.40. His statistics as a favorite are solid: 90% overall wins and 100% wins with odds between 1.21 and 1.50. His recent form (6W/4L) is slightly better than Bolt's (5W/5L).
1.4
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
If the match ends in two sets (main prediction), the total number of games is often under 22.5. Andrade, as a favorite, tends to win his matches cleanly (70% in 2 sets). Bolt, as an outsider, loses 40% of his matches in 2 sets. The odds of 2.75 offer value for a complementary bet.
1.62
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 71% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 28% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 75% |
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