Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazua — Prediction
Match Preview
Renata Zarazua, the favorite with odds of 1.63, faces Sloane Stephens (odds 2.21) at the Credit One Charleston Open on clay. Zarazua shows a strong ability to win as a favorite (80% in the last 10 matches), while Stephens performs better as an outsider. Statistics suggest a two-set match, with a high probability of victory for the favorite.
Our predictions
Victory for Renata Zarazua
Zarazua is the clear favorite (odds 1.63). Her statistics as a favorite are solid: 80% wins in the last 10 matches where she was favored. Stephens, on the other hand, wins only 30% of her matches as a favorite and 40% overall in her last 10 matches. On clay, Zarazua's consistency should make the difference.
1.64
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
The players' statistics in non-Grand Slam tournaments (excluding 5-set matches) indicate a strong trend towards two-set matches. Zarazua finishes 60% of her matches in two sets, Stephens 70%. Furthermore, as a favorite, Zarazua finishes 40% of her matches in two sets, but Stephens, as an outsider, finishes 60% of her matches in two sets. The probability of a three-set match is lower (30-40%).
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
With a prediction of a two-set match (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games is very likely to stay under 22.5. If Zarazua dominates as expected, a two-set score with potential margins (e.g., 6-3, 6-4 = 19 games) could easily stay under this limit. Stephens' tendency to lose sets as a favorite (70% of the time) suggests she might concede sets with close scores, but the total should remain moderate.
1.6
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 12% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 12% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 66% |
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