Gonzalo Villanueva vs Valerio Aboian Prediction - Odds, Tips & Analysis

30/03/2026•21:50

#101

Gonzalo Villanueva

2:1

6•7

6•1

6•3

Finished

#56

Valerio Aboian

Match Preview

Gonzalo Villanueva, the odds favourite, faces Valerio Aboian in Sao Leopoldo. Recent statistics show mixed form for both players, with a tendency towards two-set matches. No injury alerts are reported.

Our predictions

Under 2.5 sets

Statistics from the last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams) show that 90% of both players' matches ended in 2 sets. The odds make Villanueva the favourite, but his statistics as a favourite (60% wins in 2 sets) and Aboian's as an outsider (70% losses in 2 sets) reinforce this trend.

1.5

Confidence

High

Gonzalo Villanueva to win

Villanueva is the bookmakers' favourite (odds 1.62). His overall win statistics are low (20% over last 10 matches), but as a favourite (odds between 1.51 and 1.80), he wins 60% of the time. Aboian, as an outsider, wins only 30% of the time against favourites in this odds range. Aboian's recent form (4W/6L) is slightly better, but the odds logic and local favourite status lean towards Villanueva.

1.61

Confidence

Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Gonzalo Villanueva	Valerio Aboian
Win \| Lose	2 8	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	80%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	28%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	28%	16%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	50%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	80%	20%

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