Gonzalo Villanueva vs Valerio Aboian — Prediction
30/03/2026•21:50
#101
Gonzalo Villanueva
2:1
6•7
6•1
6•3
Finished
#56
Valerio Aboian
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Gonzalo Villanueva, the odds favourite, faces Valerio Aboian in Sao Leopoldo. Recent statistics show mixed form for both players, with a tendency towards two-set matches. No injury alerts are reported.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets
Statistics from the last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams) show that 90% of both players' matches ended in 2 sets. The odds make Villanueva the favourite, but his statistics as a favourite (60% wins in 2 sets) and Aboian's as an outsider (70% losses in 2 sets) reinforce this trend.
1.5
Confidence
High
Gonzalo Villanueva to win
Villanueva is the bookmakers' favourite (odds 1.62). His overall win statistics are low (20% over last 10 matches), but as a favourite (odds between 1.51 and 1.80), he wins 60% of the time. Aboian, as an outsider, wins only 30% of the time against favourites in this odds range. Aboian's recent form (4W/6L) is slightly better, but the odds logic and local favourite status lean towards Villanueva.
1.61
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 28% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 28% | 16% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 20% |
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