Tomas Barrios vs Murkel Dellien — Prediction
31/03/2026
#30
Tomas Barrios
17:00
Today
#137
Murkel Dellien
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Tomas Barrios, the clear favorite (odds 1.20), faces Murkel Dellien (odds 4.13) in Sao Leopoldo. Barrios shows solid form as a favorite (80% win rate) and a strong tendency for two-set matches (100% in his last 10 non-Grand Slam events). Dellien, often the underdog, demonstrates an ability to push matches to a third set (60%). No known injury alerts for either player.
Our predictions
Tomas Barrios to Win
Barrios is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.20). His statistics as a favorite are excellent (80% win rate). In his last 10 non-Grand Slam matches, he won 100% of his matches in two sets, indicating frequent dominance. Dellien, with only a 30% win rate in his last ten matches and poor performance as an underdog against highly favored opponents, appears significantly outmatched.
1.19
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets
Historical data is very clear: Tomas Barrios has finished his last 10 non-Grand Slam matches in two sets (100%). As a favorite, he finishes 70% of his matches in two sets. Murkel Dellien, although he has a tendency to play three-set matches (60% as an underdog), faces an opponent who regularly dominates in two sets. The probability of a two-set match is therefore high.
1.37
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a two-set win for Barrios. If the match ends 2-0, the total number of games must be under 23 for the bet to win. Given Barrios's potential dominance (100% recent matches in two sets) and Dellien's mixed form (30% wins), tight scores like 6-4, 6-4 (20 games) or 6-3, 6-4 (19 games) are plausible. However, Dellien can be combative and win a few games, so confidence is moderate.
1.5
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 75% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 75% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 75% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 25% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 100% |
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