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Jack Pinnington Jones - Zhizhen Zhang: our prediction

30/03/2026•22:30

#132

Jack Pinnington Jones

0:2

1•6

3•6

Finished

#45

Zhizhen Zhang

Jack Pinnington Jones vs Zhizhen Zhang Preview — US Men's Clay Court Championships

First-round match at the US Men's Clay Court Championships between Britain's Jack Pinnington Jones and China's Zhizhen Zhang. Zhang is the designated favorite with odds of 1.72. Recent statistics show Pinnington Jones is in good form (6 wins in last 10 matches) and has a strong tendency to finish his matches in 2 sets when favored. Zhang, although the favorite, has shown some vulnerability by often dropping a set. No injuries reported.

Our Jack Pinnington Jones vs Zhizhen Zhang predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches show both players finish 80% of their matches in 2 sets. Pinnington Jones has a 100% rate in 2 sets when favored, and Zhang 60%. Zhang's odds (1.72) place him in the 1.51-1.80 category, where he loses at least one set in 83% of cases, but this concerns his performances as a favorite. The overall trend remains towards a two-set match.

1.58

Confidence

High

Victory for Zhizhen Zhang

Zhang is clearly the match favorite (odds 1.72 vs 2.06). Although Pinnington Jones has better recent form (6/10 vs 4/10), Zhang has a much higher ATP ranking and proven experience at the highest level. His statistics as a favorite (50% wins in last 10 matches) are solid, and he won his last two matches as a favorite with low odds (category 1.0-1.2). The clay surface may also suit him.

1.71

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a match in 2 sets (Under 2.5 sets). If the match ends in 2 sets, the total number of games is highly likely to stay under the 22.5 threshold. Statistics on close sets are not provided, but the trend towards 2-set matches, combined with the fact that Zhang could dominate (he has 100% wins in 2 sets with odds 1.0-1.2), suggests a potentially one-sided match in terms of games.

1.83

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Jack Pinnington Jones vs Zhizhen Zhang

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Jack Pinnington Jones vs Zhizhen Zhang Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Jack Pinnington Jones	Zhizhen Zhang
Win \| Lose	6 4	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	50%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	70%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	42%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	57%	50%