Jack Pinnington Jones vs Zhizhen Zhang — Prediction
30/03/2026•22:30
#93
Jack Pinnington Jones
0:2
1•6
3•6
Finished
#45
Zhizhen Zhang
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
First-round match at the US Men's Clay Court Championships between Britain's Jack Pinnington Jones and China's Zhizhen Zhang. Zhang is the designated favorite with odds of 1.72. Recent statistics show Pinnington Jones is in good form (6 wins in last 10 matches) and has a strong tendency to finish his matches in 2 sets when favored. Zhang, although the favorite, has shown some vulnerability by often dropping a set. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches show both players finish 80% of their matches in 2 sets. Pinnington Jones has a 100% rate in 2 sets when favored, and Zhang 60%. Zhang's odds (1.72) place him in the 1.51-1.80 category, where he loses at least one set in 83% of cases, but this concerns his performances as a favorite. The overall trend remains towards a two-set match.
1.57
Confidence
High
Victory for Zhizhen Zhang
Zhang is clearly the match favorite (odds 1.72 vs 2.06). Although Pinnington Jones has better recent form (6/10 vs 4/10), Zhang has a much higher ATP ranking and proven experience at the highest level. His statistics as a favorite (50% wins in last 10 matches) are solid, and he won his last two matches as a favorite with low odds (category 1.0-1.2). The clay surface may also suit him.
1.73
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a match in 2 sets (Under 2.5 sets). If the match ends in 2 sets, the total number of games is highly likely to stay under the 22.5 threshold. Statistics on close sets are not provided, but the trend towards 2-set matches, combined with the fact that Zhang could dominate (he has 100% wins in 2 sets with odds 1.0-1.2), suggests a potentially one-sided match in terms of games.
1.76
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 42% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 57% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 40% | 83% |
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