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Alycia Parks vs Mary Stoiana — Prediction

31/03/202602:35
Alycia Parks
#36
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Alycia Parks

1:0
10
1st Set
Mary Stoiana
#152
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Mary Stoiana

-
1
-
X
-
2

Match Preview

Alycia Parks, the favorite (odds 1.62), faces Mary Stoiana (odds 2.22) at the Credit One Charleston Open. Parks, more experienced, shows mixed form (5W/5L in last 10 matches) but a good statistic of winning in 2 sets when favored (70%). Stoiana, the underdog, shows a tendency for 3-set matches (60% of her non-Grand Slam matches). No known injury alerts.

Our predictions

Alycia Parks to Win
Parks is designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds 1.62). Her statistics as a favorite are solid: 70% of her wins as a favorite are in 2 sets (en2set: 70%). She also has a 100% win rate when her odds are between 1.21 and 1.5 (victoir_fav_2: 100%). Against Stoiana, who often loses a set as a favorite (perd1set_asfav: 77.78%), Parks has a good chance to win.
1.64
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Analysis of set statistics favors a 2-set match. As a favorite, Parks wins 70% of her matches in 2 sets (en2set: 70%). Stoiana, as an underdog, wins 75% of her matches in 2 sets (en2setoutsider: 75%), but this includes her wins. The key point is that Stoiana often loses a set as a favorite (perd1set_asfav: 77.78%), but here she is the underdog. Combined with Parks' tendency to finish quickly as a favorite, a 2-set match is the most likely scenario.
1.54
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 2-set match. A 2-set match with close scores (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) would total 22 games. Parks' statistics (70% wins in 2 sets as favorite) and Stoiana's tendency to lose in 2 sets as an underdog (75%) suggest sets with a margin of 2-3 games are possible. However, the lack of precise data on the average number of games per set makes this prediction less certain than the first two.
1.72
Confidence
Medium

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