Rugby

Tennis

Alycia Parks - Elisabetta Cocciaretto: our prediction

22/04/2026•13:35

#36

Alycia Parks

2:0

6•3

6•2

Finished

#25

Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Alycia Parks vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Preview — Madrid Open

First-round match in Madrid between Alycia Parks, athletic underdog, and Elisabetta Cocciaretto, logical favorite. Recent statistics show similar form (60% wins in last 10 matches), but Cocciaretto is more solid as a favorite (80% wins). The match could be tight with a lost set by the favorite.

Our Alycia Parks vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto predictions

Victory for Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Cocciaretto is clearly the favorite (odds 1.37). Her statistics as a favorite are excellent: 80% wins in her last 10 matches in that role. Although Parks is dangerous (70% chance of winning a set as an underdog), Cocciaretto's consistency and experience should prevail.

1.44

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

If Cocciaretto wins in 2 sets, a total games under 22.5 is plausible. As a favorite, she wins 60% of her matches in 2 sets. Even with a lost set, a 3-set match can stay under this limit if the sets are not too tight (e.g., 6-3, 4-6, 6-2). The recent form of both players (60% wins) does not suggest overwhelming dominance, but a relatively controlled 2-0 win remains the most likely scenario.

1.63

Confidence

Medium

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Cocciaretto loses a set as a favorite in 50% of her last 10 matches. Parks, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 70% of cases. Their respective percentages of 3-set matches (outside Grand Slams) are 20% for Parks and 50% for Cocciaretto. A 2-0 win for the favorite is likely, but the risk of a lost set is significant.

2.3

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Alycia Parks vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alycia Parks vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Alycia Parks	Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Win \| Lose	6 4	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	71%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	60%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	60%