Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekic — Prediction
31/03/2026•00:10
#31
Ajla Tomljanovic
1:2
6•3
1•6
4•6
Finished
#19
Donna Vekic
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Close match between Ajla Tomljanovic and Donna Vekic at the Credit One Charleston Open. Vekic is slightly favored according to the odds (1.82 vs. 1.94). Statistics show a tendency for Vekic to play two-set matches (80% outside Majors), while Tomljanovic has a high ability to win at least one set as an outsider (80%). No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets
The statistics are very clear: as a favorite (outside Majors), Vekic finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Tomljanovic, as an outsider, finishes 70% of her matches in 2 sets. Their combined history outside Majors shows a strong predominance of two-set matches. The probability of a three-set match is low.
1.55
Confidence
Very high
Donna Vekic to win
Vekic is the favorite (odds 1.82). Her statistics as a favorite are solid: 60% win rate overall, and 80% of her matches (outside Majors) end in 2 sets. Tomljanovic, although performing well as an outsider (30% wins), has a higher odds (1.94) reflecting her outsider status. Vekic's tendency for short matches is an asset.
1.84
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games
Although the match is expected to end in two sets, the anticipated competitiveness can lead to tight sets. Tomljanovic has a high ability to win sets as an outsider (80%), meaning she can push Vekic. A likely scenario is a Vekic win in two tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games) or a lost set leading to a total games over 22.5.
2
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 40% | 100% |
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