Carl Overbeck vs Ognjen Milic — Prediction
31/03/2026•07:05
#247
Carl Overbeck
0:2
4•6
6•7
Finished
#329
Ognjen Milic
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Carl Overbeck, favorite (odds 1.50), faces Ognjen Milic (odds 2.44) in an ATP tournament in Miyazaki. Overbeck shows solid form as a favorite (75% wins) and a strong tendency for 2-set matches (90%). Milic, the underdog, has lost his last 2 matches but has always won at least one set.
Our predictions
Carl Overbeck to Win
Overbeck is the clear favorite (odds 1.50). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 75% win rate (3/4). His recent form is better than Milic's (4/10 vs 0/2). He also dominates 2-set matches (90% of his non-Grand Slam matches). No injuries reported.
1.48
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Set statistics strongly favor a 2-set match. Overbeck finishes 90% of his matches (non-Grand Slam) in 2 sets. Even as a favorite, this rate is 75%. Milic, although he has always played 3 sets recently (2/2), is significantly less performant and may struggle to resist for long against an in-form favorite.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 2-set match (Under 2.5 sets). If Overbeck wins in 2 sets, the total number of games is very likely to stay under 22.5. Overbeck has a strong tendency for clear wins (75% of his wins as a favorite are in 2 sets). However, Milic has shown an ability to win a set (100% of his recent matches have gone to 3 sets), which introduces uncertainty about the exact set scores.
1.77
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 75% | 0% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 22% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
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