Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Berrettini — Prediction
31/03/2026

#322

Michele Ribecai
14:00
Today

#307

Jacopo Berrettini
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X
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Match Preview
Michele Ribecai, the favorite (odds 1.56), faces Jacopo Berrettini (odds 2.31) in Barletta. Ribecai has mixed form (4W/6L) but performs better as a favorite. Berrettini has weak form (1W/9L). Statistics suggest a close match, potentially going to three sets.
Our predictions
Michele Ribecai to Win
Ribecai is the clear favorite (odds 1.56). In the last 10 matches, he has a 40% win rate vs. only 10% for Berrettini. As a favorite, his win rate is 50%. Berrettini has lost 90% of his recent matches. No injuries reported. The odds and recent form support Ribecai.
1.55
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Set statistics show a high probability of a 3-set match. Ribecai plays 50% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams) in 3 sets. Berrettini 40%. Furthermore, Ribecai often loses a set as a favorite (83.3%), and Berrettini often wins one as an outsider (50%). This favors a prolonged match.
2.55
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
With a high probability of a 3-set match, the total games should exceed 22.5. Even a 2-set match with tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. Player tendencies (Ribecai often losing a set, Berrettini often winning one) suggest competitive sets, increasing the game count.
2.15
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 1 9 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 25% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 75% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 83% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 80% |
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