Rugby

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Andrea Guerrieri - Maks Kasnikowski: our prediction

02/04/2026•19:30

#147

Andrea Guerrieri

2:1

3•6

6•3

6•4

Finished

#182

Maks Kasnikowski

Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski Preview — Barletta

Andrea Guerrieri faces Maks Kasnikowski in Barletta. Kasnikowski is the favorite with odds of 1.50, showing better recent form (5 wins out of 10) and high efficiency as a favorite (70% wins). Guerrieri, the underdog, struggles to win (30% wins) but often wins at least one set (70%). The match could be close.

Our Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski predictions

Maks Kasnikowski to Win

Kasnikowski is clearly the favorite (odds 1.50). His stats are solid: 5 wins in last 10 matches, and crucially 70% win rate as favorite. Guerrieri wins only 30% of his matches. No injuries reported. Statistical logic strongly favors Kasnikowski.

1.6

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Kasnikowski has a strong tendency to win matches in 2 sets (80% of his non-Grand Slam matches). Even if the match goes to 3 sets, the sets could be relatively short if one player dominates in phases. The combination of an efficient favorite and a resilient underdog, but without extreme game statistics, suggests a moderate total games count.

1.65

Confidence

Medium

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Guerrieri, as underdog, wins at least one set in 70% of cases. Kasnikowski, although favorite, loses at least one set in 40% of cases when favorite. These trends suggest a significant probability that Guerrieri wins a set, pushing the match to a decisive 3rd set.

2.48

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Andrea Guerrieri	Maks Kasnikowski
Win \| Lose	3 7	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	100%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	100%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	33%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	12%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	37%