Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski — Prediction
31/03/2026
#254
Andrea Guerrieri
14:00
Today
#182
Maks Kasnikowski
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X
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2
Match Preview
Andrea Guerrieri faces Maks Kasnikowski in Barletta. Kasnikowski is the favorite with odds of 1.50, showing better recent form (5 wins out of 10) and high efficiency as a favorite (70% wins). Guerrieri, the underdog, struggles to win (30% wins) but often wins at least one set (70%). The match could be close.
Our predictions
Maks Kasnikowski to Win
Kasnikowski is clearly the favorite (odds 1.50). His stats are solid: 5 wins in last 10 matches, and crucially 70% win rate as favorite. Guerrieri wins only 30% of his matches. No injuries reported. Statistical logic strongly favors Kasnikowski.
1.49
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Kasnikowski has a strong tendency to win matches in 2 sets (80% of his non-Grand Slam matches). Even if the match goes to 3 sets, the sets could be relatively short if one player dominates in phases. The combination of an efficient favorite and a resilient underdog, but without extreme game statistics, suggests a moderate total games count.
1.58
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Guerrieri, as underdog, wins at least one set in 70% of cases. Kasnikowski, although favorite, loses at least one set in 40% of cases when favorite. These trends suggest a significant probability that Guerrieri wins a set, pushing the match to a decisive 3rd set.
2.56
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 33% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 12% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 37% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 66% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
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