Maxim Mrva vs Martin Krumich — Prediction
31/03/2026
#260
Maxim Mrva
11:00
Today
#296
Martin Krumich
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Match Preview
Maxim Mrva, the favorite with odds of 1.75, faces Martin Krumich (odds 1.96) in an ATP tournament in Barletta. Mrva shows better form (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 30% for Krumich) and excellent performance as a favorite (80% wins). Statistics suggest a potentially close match, but with an edge for the favorite.
Our predictions
Victory for Maxim Mrva
Maxim Mrva is the clear favorite (odds 1.75) and shows significantly better form in his last 10 matches (6 wins vs. 3 for Krumich). His win rate as a favorite is a solid 80%. Krumich, with only 30% recent wins and a low win rate as an outsider (10%), appears to be struggling. No known injury alert contradicts this dynamic.
1.77
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)
Player statistics for non-Grand Slam matches indicate a strong trend towards 2-set matches: both Mrva and Krumich have a 70% rate of matches ending in 2 sets in their last 10 matches. Furthermore, when Mrva is the favorite, he wins 60% of his matches in 2 sets. The disparate form and low resistance of Krumich (70% recent losses) reinforce the likelihood of a short match.
1.49
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a match in 2 sets. If Mrva wins in two tight sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4), the total games would be 20. To exceed 22.5 games, at least one very tight set or a third set would be needed. Given the trend towards 2-set matches and the possible superiority of the favorite, a moderate total number of games is likely. However, if Krumich manages to win a set, the bet could be lost, hence medium confidence.
1.63
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 75% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 71% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 37% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 42% | 50% |
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