Justin Engel vs Inaki Montes — Prediction
01/04/2026
#186
Justin Engel
17:00
Today
#140
Inaki Montes
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
ATP tennis match on clay in Menorca between Justin Engel and Inaki Montes. Engel shows mixed recent form (3 wins out of 10), while Montes is more consistent (5 wins out of 10). Recent statistics suggest a potentially close match, with Montes as the slight favorite.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 Sets
The data is very clear: 80% of Montes' recent matches (excluding Grand Slams) end in 2 sets. Engel also has 60% of his recent matches in 2 sets. The combined probability of a 2-set match is very high. Neither player has a significant Grand Slam history (null data), which reinforces the reliability of the 'excluding Grand Slams' statistics for this tournament.
1.5
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 Games
Montes wins 80% of his recent matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). Engel loses 70% of his recent matches. The probability of a 2-set match is high. A 2-set match (e.g., 6-4, 6-3) totals 19 games, well below the 22.5 limit. Even a close 3-set match could stay under this threshold.
1.83
Confidence
High
Inaki Montes to Win
Inaki Montes shows superior recent form (50% win rate vs 30% for Engel). His statistics as a favorite (60% wins) are better than Engel's (50%). Furthermore, he wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets when favored, indicating an ability to finish quickly. No injury alerts have been reported.
1.63
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 60% |
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