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Tung-Lin Wu - Hiroki Moriya: our prediction

03/04/2026•04:10

#14

Tung-Lin Wu

2:0

7•6

Finished

Hiroki Moriya

Tung-Lin Wu vs Hiroki Moriya Preview — Miyazaki

Tung-Lin Wu, the favorite with odds of 1.35, faces Hiroki Moriya (odds 2.96) in an ATP tournament in Miyazaki. Wu shows slightly better form (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 50% for Moriya) and excellent performance as a favorite (70% wins). Statistics suggest a match likely to be decided in two sets.

Our Tung-Lin Wu vs Hiroki Moriya predictions

Tung-Lin Wu to Win

Wu is clearly the favorite (odds 1.35). He shows better recent form (60% wins vs. 50%) and a solid 70% win rate when favored. No injury alerts reported. His opponent, Moriya, has a lower win rate and less convincing performance as an underdog against favorites in this odds range.

1.34

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

Statistics from the last 10 matches (non-Grand Slam) show that 70% of Wu's matches and 70% of Moriya's matches ended in 2 sets. Furthermore, when favored, Wu finishes his matches in 2 sets 70% of the time. The probability of a 3-set match (30% for Wu, 30% for Moriya) is lower.

1.43

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

With a high probability of a two-set match (see previous prediction), the total number of games tends to be lower. If Wu dominates as expected, close sets are possible but less likely. Analysis of recent form and set statistics suggests a match potentially controlled by the favorite, limiting the total number of games.

1.62

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Tung-Lin Wu vs Hiroki Moriya

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Tung-Lin Wu vs Hiroki Moriya Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Tung-Lin Wu	Hiroki Moriya
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	66%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	66%