Jonas Forejtek - Roberto Carballes Baena: our prediction
03/04/2026•14:15

#121

Jonas Forejtek
2:1
2•6
6•1
6•3
Finished

#51

Roberto Carballes Baena
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1
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X
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2
Jonas Forejtek vs Roberto Carballes Baena Preview — Menorca
Roberto Carballes Baena, the clear favorite (odds 1.38), faces Jonas Forejtek (odds 2.84) in an ATP match on clay. Recent statistics show a clear superiority for Carballes Baena, with more solid form and greater experience on this surface.
Our Jonas Forejtek vs Roberto Carballes Baena predictions
Victory for Roberto Carballes Baena
Carballes Baena is the designated favorite (odds 1.38) with superior form (60% wins in last 10 matches vs 40% for Forejtek). His clay-court experience and well-managed favorite status (60% win rate as favorite) put him in a strong position. No known injury alerts.
1.31
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Player statistics outside Grand Slam tournaments indicate a high probability of a 2-set match. Forejtek wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets as favorite, and Carballes Baena 60%. The combined probability of a short match is high, supporting the 'Under 2.5 sets' bet.
1.4
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 2-set victory for the favorite. If Carballes Baena wins 2-0, a total number of games under 22.5 is likely. His ability to win his favorite matches in 2 sets (60%) and Forejtek's tendency to lose in 2 sets as an outsider (50%) reinforce this scenario. Confidence is medium as a tight set could increase the game count.
1.58
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Jonas Forejtek vs Roberto Carballes Baena
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Jonas Forejtek vs Roberto Carballes Baena Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 37% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 62% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 28% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 62% | 57% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 0% |
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