Alexandre Muller vs Rafael Jodar — Prediction
03/04/2026•15:05
#70
Alexandre Muller
0:2
2•6
0•2
Finished
#27
Rafael Jodar
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Alexandre Muller, the underdog, faces Rafael Jodar, the clear favorite. Recent form statistics and performance as a favorite strongly favor Jodar. The match should be competitive, but the logic of the odds and statistics suggests a victory for the favorite, potentially in two tight sets.
Our predictions
Victory for Rafael Jodar
Jodar is the designated favorite (odds 1.45). His statistics are solid: 70% wins in the last 10 matches and 80% wins as a favorite. Muller, on the other hand, has won only 50% of his recent matches and 40% as an underdog. No injury alerts have been reported. The momentum and favorite status support Jodar.
1.45
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)
Player statistics outside of Grand Slam tournaments show a strong trend towards matches in two sets. Muller finished 90% of his recent non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Jodar 70%. Furthermore, when Jodar is the favorite, he wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets. This indicates a high probability of a match concluded in two sets.
1.52
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a match in two sets. If Jodar wins in two sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4), the total games would be 20. The two-set win statistics of both players support this scenario. However, the possibility of tighter sets (e.g., 7-5) or a tie-break increases the total games, hence a medium confidence level.
1.81
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 80% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 75% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 60% |
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