Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Prediction
03/04/2026•18:00
#14
Titouan Droguet
1:2
6•4
6•7
1•3
Finished
#52
Daniel Merida Aguilar
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
First-round match at the Bucharest Open between Frenchman Titouan Droguet and Spaniard Daniel Merida Aguilar. Droguet, in better recent form (70% wins in last 10 matches), faces a solid opponent (60% wins). Statistics suggest a tight, potentially long match with a high probability of three sets.
Our predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have high statistics for 3-set matches (Droguet 70%, Merida Aguilar 60% in last 10 non-Major matches). No player clearly dominates the other, and their recent win percentages are close. The likelihood of a long, contested match is high.
1.8
Confidence
High
Victory for Titouan Droguet
Droguet shows slightly better form over the last 10 matches (70% vs 60% wins). He is also a slight favourite according to the odds. His win percentage as a favourite (80%) is identical to his opponent's, but his recent form gives him a slight edge in what promises to be a tight match.
1.65
Confidence
Medium
Over 22.5 games in the match
A 3-set match (main prediction) often exceeds the 22.5 games mark, especially if the sets are tight. The players' statistics as outsiders (winning at least 1 set) are good, indicating they can put up a fight. However, a very tight 2-set match could also reach this total.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 22% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 42% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 44% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 85% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 75% |
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