Rugby

Tennis

Alex Martinez - Daniel Rincon: our prediction

04/04/2026•12:10

#295

Alex Martinez

2:0

7•5

Finished

#201

Daniel Rincon

Alex Martinez vs Daniel Rincon Preview — Menorca

Daniel Rincon is the clear favorite (odds 1.43) against Alex Martinez (odds 2.62). Martinez shows better recent form (60% win rate) and a strong ability to win a set as an underdog (60%). Rincon, although favored, often loses a set (80% of the time). A tight 3-set match is likely.

Our Alex Martinez vs Daniel Rincon predictions

Victory for Daniel Rincon

Daniel Rincon is the bookmakers' designated favorite (odds 1.43). He has a good win rate as a favorite (70% in the last 10 matches). Alex Martinez, although in form (60% win rate), has a lower win rate as an underdog (30%). The momentum and favorite status support Rincon.

1.46

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics indicate a high probability of a 3-set match. Martinez wins at least one set in 60% of his matches as an underdog. Rincon loses at least one set in 80% of his matches as a favorite. Their respective percentages of 3-set matches (Martinez 40%, Rincon 30% outside Grand Slams) reinforce this probability.

2.4

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

The probability of a 3-set match (over 2.5 sets) suggests a high number of games. Even a tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-6) can exceed 22.5 games. Considering player tendencies (Rincon often loses sets, Martinez is combative), a high total number of games is plausible.

2.1

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Alex Martinez vs Daniel Rincon

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alex Martinez vs Daniel Rincon Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Alex Martinez	Daniel Rincon
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	85%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	83%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	20%