Rugby

Tennis

Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges: our prediction

06/04/2026•11:10

Andrey Rublev

2:1

6•4

1•6

6•1

Finished

#33

Nuno Borges

Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges Preview — Rolex Monte Carlo Masters

Andrey Rublev, the clear favourite and seeded player, faces Nuno Borges at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Rublev, ranked much higher, is heavily favoured on clay, his preferred surface. Borges, the underdog, would need to pull off an upset.

Our Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges predictions

Andrey Rublev to Win

Rublev is the undisputed favourite (odds 1.32). His win statistics (60% in last 10 matches) and wins as favourite (60%) are solid. His ATP ranking, experience, and proficiency on clay give him a clear advantage against Borges, who has won only 20% of his recent matches.

1.22

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

As the favourite, Rublev has won 70% of his recent non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Borges, as the underdog, has lost 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The gap in level suggests a short match in Rublev's favour.

1.41

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Total Games in the Match

The prediction of a match in 2 sets (under 2.5 sets) makes a total games count under 22.5 plausible. If Rublev dominates as expected, the sets could be relatively tight but not necessarily very long (e.g., 6-4, 6-3 = 19 games). Rublev's statistic of losing a set as favourite (50%) introduces slight uncertainty.

1.63

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Andrey Rublev	Nuno Borges
Win \| Lose	6 4	2 8
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	60%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	70%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	90%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	33%	83%

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