Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges: our prediction
06/04/2026•11:10
#5
Andrey Rublev
2:1
6•4
1•6
6•1
Finished
#33
Nuno Borges
-
1
-
X
-
2
Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges Preview — Rolex Monte Carlo Masters
Andrey Rublev, the clear favourite and seeded player, faces Nuno Borges at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Rublev, ranked much higher, is heavily favoured on clay, his preferred surface. Borges, the underdog, would need to pull off an upset.
Our Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges predictions
Andrey Rublev to Win
Rublev is the undisputed favourite (odds 1.32). His win statistics (60% in last 10 matches) and wins as favourite (60%) are solid. His ATP ranking, experience, and proficiency on clay give him a clear advantage against Borges, who has won only 20% of his recent matches.
1.22
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
As the favourite, Rublev has won 70% of his recent non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Borges, as the underdog, has lost 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The gap in level suggests a short match in Rublev's favour.
1.41
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Total Games in the Match
The prediction of a match in 2 sets (under 2.5 sets) makes a total games count under 22.5 plausible. If Rublev dominates as expected, the sets could be relatively tight but not necessarily very long (e.g., 6-4, 6-3 = 19 games). Rublev's statistic of losing a set as favourite (50%) introduces slight uncertainty.
1.63
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 2 8 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 90% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 83% |
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