Ethan Quinn vs Otto Virtanen — Prediction
04/04/2026•14:30
#14
Ethan Quinn
2:1
3•6
6•2
6•3
Finished
#90
Otto Virtanen
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Ethan Quinn, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Otto Virtanen in the Monte Carlo Masters qualifiers. Quinn shows solid form (70% win rate in last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to finish in two sets (80%) when favored. Virtanen, more inconsistent (60% win rate), demonstrates an ability to push opponents to a third set. No injury alerts reported.
Our predictions
Ethan Quinn to Win
Ethan Quinn is the clear favorite (odds 1.55). His recent form is superior (70% win rate vs. 60% for Virtanen). His statistics as a favorite are solid, with a 70% win rate and a strong propensity to win in two sets (80%), indicating an ability to dominate his matches. Virtanen, although dangerous, shows less consistency.
1.56
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets in the Match
The favorite Ethan Quinn finishes 80% of his matches (outside Grand Slams) in two sets when favored. Virtanen, for his part, loses 60% of his matches in two sets when he is the underdog. The probability of a two-set match (2-0 or 0-2 victory) is therefore high. This bet is consistent with a Quinn victory.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
With a high probability of a two-set match, the total number of games tends to be limited. Quinn's statistics (80% wins in 2 sets as favorite) suggest potentially tight but not necessarily very long sets. The lack of precise data on average games leads to medium confidence, but the logic of a short match supports this scenario.
1.87
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 28% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 71% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 25% |
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