Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Tabilo — Prediction
02/05/2026
#14
Ethan Quinn
15:30
Today
#3
Alejandro Tabilo
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Challenger match in Aix-en-Provence between Ethan Quinn, the underdog, and Alejandro Tabilo, the favorite. Tabilo, higher ranked and in great form on clay, has a significant advantage according to the odds. Quinn will need an upset to win.
Our predictions
Victory for Alejandro Tabilo
Tabilo is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.37. He has won 90% of his matches as a favorite, compared to 70% for Quinn. Additionally, Tabilo is more experienced and performs better on clay, the tournament surface. Quinn has a 50% win rate as an underdog, but the gap in level is significant.
1.38
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
As with the number of games, Tabilo is favored to win in 2 sets. Statistics show that Tabilo wins 60% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams), and Quinn loses 70% in 2 sets. A match in 2 sets is therefore very likely, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Tabilo, as a favorite, tends to win in 2 sets (60% of his matches in 2 sets excluding Grand Slams). Quinn, as an underdog, often loses in 2 sets (70% of his matches in 2 sets excluding Grand Slams). The match should be dominated by Tabilo, with a straight-sets win, limiting the total number of games.
1.86
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 75% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 83% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 16% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 25% |
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