Rugby

Tennis

Marton Fucsovics - Alejandro Tabilo: our prediction

05/04/2026•17:05

Marton Fucsovics

0:2

4•6

3•6

Finished

Alejandro Tabilo

Marton Fucsovics vs Alejandro Tabilo Preview — Rolex Monte Carlo Masters

First-round match at the Monte Carlo Masters 1000 on clay between Marton Fucsovics and Alejandro Tabilo. Tabilo is the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 1.53) and shows stronger form as a favorite (90% wins). Fucsovics, more experienced on clay, will look to cause an upset.

Our Marton Fucsovics vs Alejandro Tabilo predictions

Alejandro Tabilo to Win

Tabilo is clearly the favorite (odds 1.53). His statistics as a favorite are excellent: 90% wins in his last 10 matches in that role. Although Fucsovics is a solid and experienced competitor on clay, Tabilo's recent form and confidence, coupled with his favorite status, make him the most likely winner.

1.5

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The analysis suggests a potentially close match, with a chance of three sets. A two-set match with tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) would total 22 games. A three-set match, even with one easy set, easily exceeds the 22.5 game mark. Given the players' profiles and the surface, a high total number of games is a serious possibility.

1.91

Confidence

Medium

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Tabilo, although the favorite, loses at least one set in 50% of his matches as a favorite. Fucsovics, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 20% of cases. On clay, matches are often more competitive. The combination of Tabilo's tendency to drop a set and Fucsovics' ability to be competitive makes a three-set match plausible.

2.38

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Marton Fucsovics vs Alejandro Tabilo

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Marton Fucsovics vs Alejandro Tabilo Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Marton Fucsovics	Alejandro Tabilo
Win \| Lose	5 5	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	75%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	40%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	40%