Alexander Shevchenko vs Andrea Pellegrino — Prediction
04/04/2026•14:55
#50
Alexander Shevchenko
1:0
6•0
Finished
#134
Andrea Pellegrino
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Alexander Shevchenko, the odds favorite, faces Andrea Pellegrino in the Monte Carlo Masters qualifiers. Shevchenko shows strong performance as a favorite (90% wins), while Pellegrino is in recent form (70% wins in last 10 matches). The match is expected to be tight, with a tendency towards three sets.
Our predictions
Alexander Shevchenko to win
Shevchenko is the clear favorite (odds 1.65) and shows an excellent win rate of 90% as a favorite in his last 10 matches. Although Pellegrino is in form (70% wins), Shevchenko has a significant statistical advantage in this role.
1.64
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics indicate a high probability of three sets. Shevchenko loses at least one set as a favorite in 40% of cases, and Pellegrino wins at least one set as an outsider in 40% of cases. Additionally, Pellegrino has played 60% of his recent non-Grand Slam matches in three sets.
2.28
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a prediction of three tight sets, the total games should exceed 22.5. The recent performances of both players suggest competitive sets. However, if Shevchenko dominates, the bet could be risky.
1.91
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 80% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 80% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 40% | 60% |
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