Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Prediction
04/04/2026•15:55
#43
Fabian Marozsan
1:2
7•6
3•6
1•6
Finished
#52
Daniel Merida Aguilar
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Fabian Marozsan, the clear favorite, faces Daniel Merida Aguilar at the Bucharest Open. Marozsan shows solid form and good performance as a favorite, while Merida Aguilar, although performing well as a favorite, is the underdog here. No injuries reported. The match should be competitive, with a high probability of over 2.5 sets.
Our predictions
Fabian Marozsan to win
Marozsan is the clear favorite (odds 1.39). His statistics as a favorite (60% wins in the last 10 matches) and recent form (4 wins out of 10) put him in a strong position. No injuries reported. Against Merida Aguilar, who has mixed performances as an underdog (40% wins), Marozsan should win.
1.4
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Player statistics indicate a high probability of a 3-set match. Marozsan has 60% of his matches (non-Grand Slam) going to 3 sets as a favorite, and Merida Aguilar also has 60%. Additionally, Marozsan often loses a set as a favorite (70% of cases), and Merida Aguilar often wins a set as an underdog (70% of cases). This suggests a tight match with over 2.5 sets.
2.55
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of over 2.5 sets, the total number of games should exceed 22.5. 3-set matches tend to have more games, especially if the sets are tight. Player statistics show they often lose/win sets, which can lead to prolonged sets. However, if Marozsan dominates, the total could be just above the limit, hence medium confidence.
2.16
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 83% | 75% |
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