Rugby

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Alastair Gray - Yasutaka Uchiyama: our prediction

07/04/2026•08:05

#190

Alastair Gray

2:0

6•3

4•3

Finished

#30

Yasutaka Uchiyama

Alastair Gray vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Preview — Wuning

First-round match in Wuning between Britain's Alastair Gray and Japan's Yasutaka Uchiyama. Uchiyama is the slight bookmakers' favorite, but recent statistics show both players have similar performances, with a strong tendency for three-set matches.

Our Alastair Gray vs Yasutaka Uchiyama predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches show that both players have 50% of their matches going to 3 sets. Furthermore, Gray, as an outsider, wins at least one set in 70% of cases, and Uchiyama, as a favorite, loses one in 50% of cases. These trends strongly support a long match.

2.26

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

This bet is consistent with the over 2.5 sets prediction. A three-set match very often exceeds the total games mark of 22.5. Given the players' profiles and their tendency for close and long matches, the total number of games should be high.

1.76

Confidence

High

Victory for Yasutaka Uchiyama

Uchiyama is designated the favorite (odds 1.79). His recent statistics are slightly better (70% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 50% for Gray). As a favorite, he wins 80% of his matches. However, his tendency to lose sets (50% of the time) makes this victory likely, but not necessarily easy.

1.8

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Alastair Gray vs Yasutaka Uchiyama

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alastair Gray vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Alastair Gray	Yasutaka Uchiyama
Win \| Lose	5 5	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	28%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	71%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	66%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	28%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	75%