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Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel: our prediction

07/04/2026•15:05

#201

Daniel Rincon

1:2

7•6

4•6

1•6

Finished

#88

Toby Samuel

Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuel Preview — Madrid

Toby Samuel, the favorite with odds of 1.72, shows exceptional form with 9 wins in his last 10 matches. Daniel Rincon, the underdog (odds 2.02), presents a balanced record (5W/5L). Recent statistics suggest a two-set match, as Samuel has won his last 10 non-Grand Slam matches in two sets.

Our Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuel predictions

Toby Samuel to win

Toby Samuel is the clear favorite with exceptional form (9W/1L in last 10 matches, 90% win rate). As a favorite, he wins 90% of the time. Daniel Rincon has a balanced record (50% win rate) and wins only 20% of the time as an underdog. No injury information was found for either player.

1.73

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Toby Samuel has won 100% of his last 10 non-Grand Slam matches in two sets (10/10). As a favorite, he plays 100% of his matches in two sets. Daniel Rincon, as an underdog, plays 100% of his matches in two sets (10/10). The probability of a three-set match is very low according to recent statistics.

1.52

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of a two-set match (6-4, 6-3 or similar scores), the total number of games should stay under 22.5. Toby Samuel, as a favorite, rarely loses a set (only 10% of the time), limiting extensions. However, the lack of precise data on average games per match makes this prediction less certain.

1.7

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuel

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuel Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Daniel Rincon	Toby Samuel
Win \| Lose	5 5	9 1
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	71%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	75%