Rugby

Tennis

Paula Badosa - Lilli Tagger: our prediction

07/04/2026•16:20

Paula Badosa

0:2

4•6

6•7

Finished

#63

Lilli Tagger

Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger Preview — Upper Austria Ladies Linz

Paula Badosa, the clear favorite, faces the young Lilli Tagger. Badosa, more experienced and higher-ranked, is widely expected to win, likely in two sets, despite recent inconsistent form.

Our Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger predictions

Paula Badosa to Win

Badosa is the clear favorite (odds 1.35). Her experience, ranking, and statistics as a favorite (60% win rate in last 10 matches) put her in a strong position against the far less experienced Tagger. No injuries reported.

1.36

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Player statistics for non-Grand Slam matches show a strong trend towards two-set matches (80% for both in last 10). Furthermore, Badosa, as a favorite, wins 70% of her matches in two sets. The difference in level suggests a short match.

1.44

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

If Badosa dominates as expected in two sets (e.g., 6-3, 6-2), the total games would be 17. Even with a tighter set (e.g., 7-5), the total remains under the threshold. The probability of a three-set match is low (20%), reinforcing this scenario. However, unexpected resistance from Tagger could push it over.

1.6

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Paula Badosa	Lilli Tagger
Win \| Lose	6 4	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	33%