Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo — Prediction
06/04/2026•17:25
#23
Valentin Vacherot
2:1
5•7
6•2
6•1
Finished
#64
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Valentin Vacherot, the favorite with odds of 1.46, faces Juan Manuel Cerundolo (odds 2.62) at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Vacherot shows excellent performance as a favorite (100% wins in the last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to finish in 2 sets (70%). Cerundolo, more comfortable in 3 sets, could offer resistance.
Our predictions
Victory for Valentin Vacherot
Vacherot is the clear favorite (odds 1.46) and shows a perfect statistic of 100% wins as a favorite in his last 10 matches. His recent form is solid (6 wins out of 10). Cerundolo, although resilient, has only a 60% win rate as a favorite and seems less performant in this role.
1.47
Confidence
Very high
Less than 2.5 sets in the match
Vacherot has a strong tendency to win in 2 sets when he is the favorite (70% in his last 10 matches). Furthermore, Cerundolo loses 1 set as a favorite in 60% of cases, suggesting he can lose a set, but the match is highly likely to end in 2 straight sets. No injury information contradicts this.
1.5
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
Although Vacherot may win in 2 sets, Cerundolo has the ability to win sets (60% of matches in 3 sets as an outsider). Even in a 2-set match, if each set is tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total games can exceed 22.5. Cerundolo's resilience supports this scenario.
2.02
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 25% | 80% |
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