Pavle Marinkov vs Li Tu — Prediction
07/04/2026
#364
Pavle Marinkov
06:30
Tomorrow
#19
Li Tu
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Pavle Marinkov faces Li Tu in an ATP match in Wuning. Marinkov, less experienced, has mixed recent form (3 wins in last 10 matches). Li Tu, more consistent (4 wins in 10), shows a strong tendency to play 2-set matches (70% excluding Grand Slams). No injuries reported. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match, but with an edge for Li Tu.
Our predictions
Li Tu to Win
Li Tu displays more solid form (40% recent wins vs 30% for Marinkov) and better consistency. His statistics as a favorite (70% wins) and his tendency to win matches in 2 sets (70% excluding Grand Slams) are major strengths. Marinkov, often the outsider, has a low win rate in that role (20%).
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Li Tu finishes 70% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams) in 2 sets. Marinkov, as an outsider, also finishes 60% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 2-set match (2-0 or 0-2 win) is high, supported by both players' statistics.
1.4
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
With a high probability of a 2-set match, the total number of games should be limited. If Li Tu dominates as expected (potentially 2-0), a score like 6-4, 6-3 (19 games) or 6-3, 6-4 (19 games) is plausible. However, if Marinkov wins a set, the total could exceed 22.5. Confidence is moderate due to this possibility.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 25% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
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