Conner Huertas Del Pino vs Hernan Casanova — Prediction
07/04/2026

#196

Conner Huertas Del Pino
20:00
Today

#125

Hernan Casanova
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Match Preview
Clash at the Campinas Challenger between Conner Huertas Del Pino and Hernan Casanova. Casanova is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.53) but recent statistics show mixed form for both players. Huertas Del Pino has a better win percentage in his last 10 matches (40% vs 30%) and a strong tendency to win at least one set as an outsider. The match should be tight with a high probability of exceeding 22.5 games.
Our predictions
Over 22.5 games in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show Huertas Del Pino wins at least one set in 60% of his matches as an outsider, and Casanova loses one in 60% of his matches as a favorite. This suggests a tight match with likely two contested sets, increasing the probability of exceeding 22.5 total games.
1.8
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Casanova has finished 90% of his last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams) in 2 sets. As a favorite, this rate is 70%. Huertas Del Pino, as an outsider, also finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a two-set match is therefore high.
1.53
Confidence
High
Victory for Hernan Casanova
Casanova is the designated favorite (odds 1.53) and has a good performance as a favorite with odds between 1.21 and 1.5 (4 wins out of 4). However, his recent form is concerning (3 wins out of 10) and he often loses a set as a favorite (60%). Victory is likely but not assured, hence medium confidence.
1.53
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 57% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 40% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 14% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 60% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 28% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 71% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 75% |
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