Daniel Galan vs Garrett Johns — Prediction
07/04/2026
#70
Daniel Galan
17:30
Today
#93
Garrett Johns
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X
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2
Match Preview
Daniel Galan, the statistical favorite, faces Garrett Johns in an ATP match in Sarasota. Both players are in mixed form (2 wins in their last 10 matches each). Historical statistics suggest a short match (2 sets) with Galan favored, but the low confidence on both sides leaves room for uncertainty.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 Total Sets in the Match
This bet is directly supported by the strongest historical data. For non-Grand Slam matches, Daniel Galan plays 70% of his matches in 2 sets, and Garrett Johns 80%. Furthermore, when Galan is favored, this percentage rises to 80%, and when Johns is an outsider, he loses 90% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 3-set match is very low (20-30% for each), making this bet very reliable.
1.4
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 Total Games in the Match
Both players' statistics indicate a high probability of a 2-set match. Galan wins 80% of his matches (non-Grand Slam) in 2 sets as a favorite, and Johns loses 80% of his matches in 2 sets as an outsider. This suggests a quick victory scenario for Galan, likely 6-3, 6-4 or similar, resulting in a total game count under 22.5.
1.83
Confidence
High
Daniel Galan to Win
Daniel Galan is the clear favorite on paper. His statistics as a favorite (60% win rate) are better than Johns' (50%). Furthermore, in non-Grand Slam matches, Galan wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets when favored, indicating a tendency for clear victories. Recent form is poor for both, but Galan's experience and status should make the difference.
1.29
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 2 8 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 16% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 83% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 57% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 20% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 42% | 80% |
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