Andrea Guerrieri vs Mattia Bellucci — Prediction
08/04/2026
#245
Andrea Guerrieri
13:40
Today
#60
Mattia Bellucci
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X
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2
Match Preview
Mattia Bellucci, clear favorite (odds 1.28), faces Andrea Guerrieri (odds 3.41) in Monza. Recent statistics show a clear superiority for Bellucci, especially as a favorite (90% wins). Guerrieri, often the underdog, frequently manages to win a set (70%). A match in two sets is likely, but Guerrieri could put up a fight.
Our predictions
Mattia Bellucci to Win
Bellucci is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.28). His statistics as a favorite are excellent: 90% wins (9/10). His recent form is superior (70% wins in last 10 matches vs 50% for Guerrieri). He also dominates the statistics for matches in 2 sets as a favorite (70%). No injury information found to compromise this status.
1.29
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
As a favorite, Bellucci finishes his matches in 2 sets 70% of the time (7/10). In non-Grand Slam tournaments, this rate rises to 80% for his last 10 matches. Guerrieri, as an underdog, loses in 2 sets 60% of the time (6/10). The probability of a quick match in favor of the favorite is high.
1.4
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 75% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 42% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 57% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 33% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 75% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 66% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
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