08/04/2026•12:35

#51

Jurij Rodionov

0:0

6•6

1st Set

#419

Sergi Perez Contri

Match Preview

Jurij Rodionov, the clear favorite, faces Sergi Perez Contri in Madrid. Recent statistics and odds indicate a clear advantage for Rodionov, with a high probability of a straight-sets victory.

Our predictions

Victory for Jurij Rodionov

Rodionov is the designated favorite (odds 1.28). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 80% win rate (8/10). In his last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams), he won 70% of the time as a favorite. Perez Contri, although performing well as an outsider (50% wins in 4 matches), faces a superior opponent. No known injury alerts for either player.

1.28

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets (Victory in 2 sets)

When favored (odds between 1.21 and 1.50), Rodionov has a 2-set win rate of 100% (4/4). Overall, as a favorite (excluding Grand Slams), he wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets (7/10). Perez Contri, as an outsider, loses 75% of his matches in 2 sets (3/4). The dynamics suggest a short match.

1.43

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Jurij Rodionov	Sergi Perez Contri
Win \| Lose	7 3	3 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	20%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	66%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	0%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	0%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	75%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%

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