Jurij Rodionov vs Sergi Perez Contri — Prediction
08/04/2026•12:35

#51

Jurij Rodionov
0:0
6•6
1st Set

#419

Sergi Perez Contri
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Jurij Rodionov, the clear favorite, faces Sergi Perez Contri in Madrid. Recent statistics and odds indicate a clear advantage for Rodionov, with a high probability of a straight-sets victory.
Our predictions
Victory for Jurij Rodionov
Rodionov is the designated favorite (odds 1.28). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 80% win rate (8/10). In his last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams), he won 70% of the time as a favorite. Perez Contri, although performing well as an outsider (50% wins in 4 matches), faces a superior opponent. No known injury alerts for either player.
1.28
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets (Victory in 2 sets)
When favored (odds between 1.21 and 1.50), Rodionov has a 2-set win rate of 100% (4/4). Overall, as a favorite (excluding Grand Slams), he wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets (7/10). Perez Contri, as an outsider, loses 75% of his matches in 2 sets (3/4). The dynamics suggest a short match.
1.43
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 3 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 20% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 66% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 20% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 75% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
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