Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Assche — Prediction
08/04/2026•11:55
#29
Rei Sakamoto
0:2
3•6
3•4
2nd Set
#48
Luca Van Assche
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Luca Van Assche is the clear favorite (odds 1.34) against Rei Sakamoto (odds 3.02). Statistics show Van Assche is very effective as a favorite (90% win rate), while Sakamoto has a solid ability to win at least one set as an outsider. The match takes place in Monza, likely on clay, a surface favorable to Van Assche. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Victory for Luca Van Assche
Van Assche is the designated favorite (odds 1.34) with impressive statistics: 90% win rate as a favorite in his last 10 matches, and 80% of his wins as a favorite come in 2 sets. His opponent, Sakamoto, wins only 40% of the time as an outsider. The surface (likely clay in Monza) and overall form confirm his status as a strong favorite.
1.34
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a strong tendency to finish their matches in 2 sets when they are favorites (80% each). Van Assche, as a favorite, finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets. Sakamoto, as an outsider, also loses 80% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 3-set match (over 2.5) is therefore reduced, supporting the 'under 2.5 sets' bet.
1.44
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 33% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 57% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 42% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 85% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 37% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 28% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
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