Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Prediction
08/04/2026
#128
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
14:30
Today
#100
Alejandro Moro Canas
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Match Preview
Pablo Llamas Ruiz, the clear favorite (odds 1.31), faces Alejandro Moro Canas in Madrid. Llamas Ruiz shows solid form (80% wins in last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to win matches in 2 sets (80%) when favored. Moro Canas, less consistent (50% wins), shows an ability to push to a 3rd set (40%). No known injury alerts.
Our predictions
Victory for Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Llamas Ruiz is the statistical and odds favorite. His recent form is excellent (8W/2L in 10). He wins 80% of his matches as a favorite and 100% (2/2) when his odds are between 1.0 and 1.2. Moro Canas loses 50% of his recent matches and has no strong history as an outsider against such low favorites.
1.32
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)
When favored (excluding Grand Slams), Llamas Ruiz finishes his matches in 2 sets 80% of the time (8/10). Moro Canas, as an outsider, loses in 2 sets 70% of the time (7/10). The statistical trend of both players converges towards a short match. Llamas Ruiz's low odds reinforce this probability.
1.45
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 42% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 14% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 66% |
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