Rugby

Tennis

Yue Yuan - Polona Hercog: our prediction

08/04/2026

#48

Yue Yuan

10:00

#31

Polona Hercog

Yue Yuan vs Polona Hercog Preview — Madrid

First-round match in Madrid between China's Yue Yuan (higher-ranked) and Slovenia's Polona Hercog (experienced). Recent statistics show slightly better form for Hercog (70% wins in last 10 matches vs 40% for Yuan). No injuries reported. The match could be tight, with a tendency for two-set matches for Hercog.

Our Yue Yuan vs Polona Hercog predictions

Polona Hercog to Win

Polona Hercog shows superior recent form (7W/3L vs 4W/6L for Yuan). Her statistics as a favorite are solid (80% wins). She also has a strong tendency to win her matches in two sets (90% as favorite). No injury disrupts her preparation.

1.8

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

Polona Hercog often finishes her matches in two sets (90% as favorite, 60% overall). Yue Yuan, as an outsider, often wins a set (60%), but Hercog is very efficient at closing out quickly. The probability of a three-set match is moderate, but the overall trend leans towards a two-set match.

1.5

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

If Hercog wins the match in two sets as statistics suggest, a total games under 22.5 is plausible. Her performances as a favorite show she often dominates opponents. However, Yuan can be combative and win some games, making this bet riskier than the others.

1.9

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Yue Yuan vs Polona Hercog

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Yue Yuan vs Polona Hercog Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Yue Yuan	Polona Hercog
Win \| Lose	4 6	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	80%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	83%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	30%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	66%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	66%	20%

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