Yue Yuan - Polona Hercog: our prediction
08/04/2026
#48
Yue Yuan
10:00
#31
Polona Hercog
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1
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X
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2
Yue Yuan vs Polona Hercog Preview — Madrid
First-round match in Madrid between China's Yue Yuan (higher-ranked) and Slovenia's Polona Hercog (experienced). Recent statistics show slightly better form for Hercog (70% wins in last 10 matches vs 40% for Yuan). No injuries reported. The match could be tight, with a tendency for two-set matches for Hercog.
Our Yue Yuan vs Polona Hercog predictions
Polona Hercog to Win
Polona Hercog shows superior recent form (7W/3L vs 4W/6L for Yuan). Her statistics as a favorite are solid (80% wins). She also has a strong tendency to win her matches in two sets (90% as favorite). No injury disrupts her preparation.
1.8
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets in the Match
Polona Hercog often finishes her matches in two sets (90% as favorite, 60% overall). Yue Yuan, as an outsider, often wins a set (60%), but Hercog is very efficient at closing out quickly. The probability of a three-set match is moderate, but the overall trend leans towards a two-set match.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
If Hercog wins the match in two sets as statistics suggest, a total games under 22.5 is plausible. Her performances as a favorite show she often dominates opponents. However, Yuan can be combative and win some games, making this bet riskier than the others.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Yue Yuan vs Polona Hercog
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Yue Yuan vs Polona Hercog Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 83% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 20% |
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