Felix Auger Aliassime vs Marin Cilic — Prediction
08/04/2026
#6
Felix Auger-Aliassime
14:00
Today
#5
Marin Cilic
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Felix Auger-Aliassime, the favorite (odds 1.41), faces Marin Cilic (odds 2.87) at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters on clay. Statistics show Auger-Aliassime is very solid as a favorite, with an 80% win rate in that role. Cilic, experienced, can be dangerous but his recent form is less convincing. No major injuries are reported.
Our predictions
Felix Auger-Aliassime to Win
Auger-Aliassime is clearly the favorite (odds 1.41). His statistics as a favorite are excellent (80% win rate). He faces an experienced but less consistent Cilic. On clay, Auger-Aliassime's consistency should make the difference. No known injury disrupts this scenario.
1.42
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
The players' statistics in non-Grand Slam tournaments ('en2set' indicators) are very high: Auger-Aliassime wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets as a favorite, and Cilic 80%. This indicates a high probability of a short match. The favorite's odds and solidity suggest he can win in two sets.
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a match in 2 sets. If Auger-Aliassime wins 2-0, scores like 6-4, 6-3 (19 games) or 6-3, 6-4 (19 games) are likely. Even with a tight set, the total often stays under 22.5. Confidence is medium because a very close set (e.g., 7-6, 6-4 = 23 games) could exceed it.
1.83
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 33% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers