08/04/2026

#101

Gonzalo Villanueva

17:00

Today

#61

Juan Pablo Varillas

Match Preview

Juan Pablo Varillas, the clear favorite with odds of 1.32, faces Gonzalo Villanueva (odds 3.15) in an ATP match in Campinas. Varillas, higher-ranked and more experienced, is expected to win, but statistics show he often loses a set as the favorite, which could extend the match.

Our predictions

Juan Pablo Varillas to Win

Varillas is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.32). He has won 60% of his last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Villanueva. As a favorite (odds between 1.0 and 1.8), he wins 60% of the time in his last 10 matches in this role. His technical superiority and ranking should make the difference.

1.32

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Player statistics as favorite/underdog suggest a 3-set match. Varillas loses at least 1 set as a favorite in 50% of his last 10 matches. Villanueva, as an underdog, wins at least 1 set in 20% of his last 10 matches, but this percentage rises to 100% against favorites with odds between 1.51 and 1.80 (Varillas' category). The probability of a 3-set match is high.

2.63

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Gonzalo Villanueva	Juan Pablo Varillas
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	60%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	100%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	44%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	55%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	50%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	83%	80%

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