Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Pablo Varillas — Prediction
08/04/2026
#101
Gonzalo Villanueva
17:00
Today
#61
Juan Pablo Varillas
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X
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2
Match Preview
Juan Pablo Varillas, the clear favorite with odds of 1.32, faces Gonzalo Villanueva (odds 3.15) in an ATP match in Campinas. Varillas, higher-ranked and more experienced, is expected to win, but statistics show he often loses a set as the favorite, which could extend the match.
Our predictions
Juan Pablo Varillas to Win
Varillas is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.32). He has won 60% of his last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Villanueva. As a favorite (odds between 1.0 and 1.8), he wins 60% of the time in his last 10 matches in this role. His technical superiority and ranking should make the difference.
1.32
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Player statistics as favorite/underdog suggest a 3-set match. Varillas loses at least 1 set as a favorite in 50% of his last 10 matches. Villanueva, as an underdog, wins at least 1 set in 20% of his last 10 matches, but this percentage rises to 100% against favorites with odds between 1.51 and 1.80 (Varillas' category). The probability of a 3-set match is high.
2.63
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 44% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 55% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 83% | 80% |
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