09/04/2026•12:35

Inaki / Chris

0:1

4•6

2nd Set

Andrew / Michael

Match Preview

First-round match in Madrid between Iñaki Montes and Andrew Paulson. Both players show similar recent form (5 wins, 5 losses in the last 10 matches). Statistics suggest a tight match, with a tendency for two-set matches for both players outside Grand Slam events. No injuries reported.

Our predictions

Victory for Iñaki Montes

Recent form identical (5W/5L). However, Montes has a better performance as a favorite (80% wins in 2 sets 'en2set' vs 50% for Paulson). As an outsider, he also wins at least one set more often (80% 'win1set_asoutsider_g' vs 60%). Slight statistical edge.

Confidence

Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Inaki Montes	Andrew Paulson
Win \| Lose	5 5	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	33%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	80%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	83%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	66%	75%

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