Inaki Montes vs Andrew Paulson — Prediction
09/04/2026•12:35
Inaki / Chris
0:1
4•6
2nd Set
Andrew / Michael
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
First-round match in Madrid between Iñaki Montes and Andrew Paulson. Both players show similar recent form (5 wins, 5 losses in the last 10 matches). Statistics suggest a tight match, with a tendency for two-set matches for both players outside Grand Slam events. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Victory for Iñaki Montes
Recent form identical (5W/5L). However, Montes has a better performance as a favorite (80% wins in 2 sets 'en2set' vs 50% for Paulson). As an outsider, he also wins at least one set more often (80% 'win1set_asoutsider_g' vs 60%). Slight statistical edge.
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Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 83% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 75% |
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